Qarabağ Agdam vs Chelsea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:2
05/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
moldovaMoldovaWe Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.08
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
78% (244/312)87% (435/498)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.761.05
Total shots
916
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1833
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
199
Passes
78% (244/312)87% (435/498)
Long passes
36% (19/53)51% (20/39)
Passes in final third
66% (53/80)78% (114/147)
Crosses
25% (3/12)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.281.70
Throw-ins
1412
Fouls
919
Tackles
63% (10/16)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4242
Clearances
2612
Interceptions
156
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.051.76
Goals prevented
-0.95-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', Lavia R. ↓, Caicedo M. ↑,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Estêvão ⚽, Andrey Santos (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Leandro Andrade ⚽, Duran C. (A),
  • 31', Kady Borges ↓, Addai E. ↑,
  • 39', 2 - 1, Jankovic M. (Pen),
  • 44', Andrey Santos 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Andrey Santos ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
  • 46', Gittens J. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
  • 46', George T. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
  • 47', James R. 🟨,
  • 47', Matheus Silva 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 2, Garnacho A. ⚽,
  • 61', Leandro Andrade ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
  • 61', Duran C. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
  • 71', Joao Pedro ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
  • 75', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Dani Bolt ↑,
  • 75', Zoubir A. ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
  • 87', Medina K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Caicedo M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Qarabağ Agdam
10.1%		Draw
16.7%		Chelsea
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.9% 18.3% 68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4% 17.7% 71.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
    •

    Qarabağ Agdam - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 9.59 ↑
    (7.38)    		 5.81 ↑
    (5.18)    		 1.33 ↓
    (1.38)    		 3.1%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 2 - 3.4%). Chelsea will win (votes: 53 - 89.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 82.1% – 97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Chelsea (1.94) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Chelsea (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Chelsea (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Chelsea (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 - Qarabağ (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chelsea will win (23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 31 high ROI users predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Chelsea (votes: 28 - 90.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chelsea is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Qarabağ: Jankovic M. (Injury) Montiel J. (Inactive) Rzayev A. (Inactive) Sheydayev R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Muscle Injury) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Neto P. (Injury) Palmer C. (Groin Injury) Slonina G. (Inactive) Sterling R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Qarabağ: Duran C. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:10. (average 0:5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    31.10.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - İmişli 2:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi 0:0 ✺
    22.10.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Qarabağ Agdam 3:1 ✺
    17.10.2025 Turan Tovuz - Qarabağ Agdam 1:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz 1:0
    Latest results of Chelsea
    01.11.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea 0:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea 3:4 ✺
    25.10.2025 Chelsea - Sunderland 1:2 ✺
    22.10.2025 Chelsea - Ajax 5:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Nottingham Forest - Chelsea 0:3 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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