Result
04/05/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Qarabağ Agdam
61.8% | Draw
23.3% | Turan Tovuz
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Turan Tovuz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Tovuz than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Qarabağ Agdam - Turan Tovuz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.46) |
3.86 ↓
(4.08) |
6.01 ↑
(5.83) |
11.4%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 3.
- Qarabağ is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Turan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Turan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Qarabağ has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Qarabağ is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:15. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Turan Tovuz?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 10 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Turan Tovuz won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Turan Tovuz has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Turan Tovuz were as follows:
01.02.2026
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Turan Tovuz
1:0
17.10.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:2
28.03.2025
Turan Tovuz
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:4
26.01.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Turan Tovuz
1:2
01.11.2024
Turan Tovuz
-
Qarabağ Agdam
0:0
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Latest results of Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 69:21 | 48 | 72 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Zira | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
