Result
0:2
29/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Igor Pereira 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Bruno Mezenga ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Fabricio Dias ↓, Rickson ↑,
- 62', Kelvin ↓, Wenderson ↑,
- 62', Patrick Allan ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
- 64', 0 - 2, Helio Borges ⚽,
- 66', Arnaldo ↓, Marcos Ytalo ↑,
- 66', Lucas Mila 🟨,
- 72', Lucas Mila ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 72', Julio Henrique ↓, Cleiton ↑,
- 72', Igor Pereira ↓, Auremir ↑,
- 74', Wenderson 🟨,
- 75', Marco Antonio 🟨,
- 77', Marco Antonio ↓, Samuel ↑,
- 81', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Rafael Silva ↑,
Chances of winning
Tombense
44.4% | Draw
30% | Náutico Capibaribe
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Capibaribe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Capibaribe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tombense - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.2) |
3.04 ↓
(3.3) |
3.57 ↑
(2.99) |
9.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tombense - Náutico Capibaribe?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).
- In recent matches, Tombense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Náutico is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tombense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Tombense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Tombense?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
07.07.2024
Tombense
-
Náutico Capibaribe
0:0
04.10.2022
Náutico Capibaribe
-
Tombense
4:3
Latest results of Tombense
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ituano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Maringa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Brusque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Paysandu PA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Amazonas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Figueirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Guarani | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Maranhao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ypiranga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | SER Caxias | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Confianca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Barra FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Anapolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
