Celje vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
2:1
06/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoDisney+
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 16
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 16, Blue Sport 16
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 18
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.711.65
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
89% (419/469)85% (274/321)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.711.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.801.68
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1128
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
89% (419/469)85% (274/321)
Long passes
50% (17/34)52% (22/42)
Passes in final third
78% (84/108)72% (79/109)
Crosses
18% (2/11)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.69
Throw-ins
811
Fouls
1014
Tackles
63% (5/8)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3129
Clearances
2813
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
84
xGOT faced
1.680.80
Goals prevented
0.68-1.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Urbanski K. ⚽, Kapustka B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Jevsenak F. ↓, Hrka D. ↑,
  • 48', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
  • 52', Kvesic M. 🟨,
  • 59', Avdyli M. ↓, Lisakovich V. ↑,
  • 59', Tutyskinas A. ↓, Vodeb G. ↑,
  • 66', Kapustka B. 🟨,
  • 68', Colak A. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
  • 68', Stojanovic P. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Iosifov N. ⚽, Kvesic M. (A),
  • 77', 2 - 1, Karnicnik Z. ⚽,
  • 78', Urbanski K. ↓, Elitim J. ↑,
  • 78', Bejger L. ↓, Vuklisevic D. ↑,
  • 86', Krasniqi E. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
  • 86', Kapustka B. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
  • 86', Kvesic M. ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
  • 87', Zewlakow J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Celje
41.5%		Draw
26.6%		Legia Warsaw
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 27.8% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 26.8% 29.2%

Celje - Legia Warsaw Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.3 ↑
(2.23)		 3.59 ↑
(3.36)		 2.98 ↓
(3.09)		 4.9%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Celje - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: Celje will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Celje will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Celje is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Legia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Celje: Kucys A. (Knee Injury) Sluga S. (Inactive) Zabukovnik M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Legia: Reca A. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Celje
    01.11.2025 Celje - Aluminij Kidricevo 2:1 ✺
    26.10.2025 Mura - Celje 2:1 ✺
    23.10.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Celje 0:2 ✺
    18.10.2025 Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana 0:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 Radomlje - Celje 0:3
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    02.11.2025 Widzew Łódź - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺
    30.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:2 ✺
    26.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:0 ✺
    23.10.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warsaw 1:2 ✺
    19.10.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

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