Result
7:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Ebanks C. ⚽,
- 6', 1 - 1, Ryan-Phillips C. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 1, Cox C. ⚽,
- 30', 3 - 1, Garrick J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 54', 4 - 1, Twamley L. ⚽,
- 64', 5 - 1, Handley T. ⚽,
- 80', 6 - 1, Rai K. ⚽,
- 90', 7 - 1, Xavier-Jones T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Merthyr Town 50% | Draw 22.5% | Bedford Town 27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Merthyr Town - Bedford Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 (1.84) |
4.12 ↑ (4) |
3.36 ↓ (3.52) |
8.4% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
- Merthyr has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bedford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Merthyr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Merthyr might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Bedford Town?
Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bedford Town won against Merthyr Town?
Bedford Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Bedford Town were as follows:
08.11.2025
Bedford Town
-
Merthyr Town
3:4
Latest results of Merthyr Town
Latest results of Bedford Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 82:35 | 47 | 75 |
| 2 | South Shields | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 74:28 | 46 | 74 |
| 3 | Merthyr Town | 36 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 80:63 | 17 | 63 |
| 4 | Darlington | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 64:47 | 17 | 56 |
| 5 | Kidderminster | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 44:35 | 9 | 56 |
| 6 | Radcliffe | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 63:55 | 8 | 55 |
| 7 | AFC Telford | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 67:46 | 21 | 53 |
| 8 | Scarborough | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 49:44 | 5 | 53 |
| 9 | Macclesfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 56:46 | 10 | 52 |
| 10 | Chester | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 52:57 | -5 | 50 |
| 11 | Marine | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 48 |
| 12 | Spennymoor | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
| 13 | Buxton | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:49 | 7 | 45 |
| 14 | Curzon Ashton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 56:63 | -7 | 45 |
| 15 | Chorley | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 54:52 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Worksop | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 45:62 | -17 | 41 |
| 17 | Southport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 47:56 | -9 | 39 |
| 18 | Bedford | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 55:65 | -10 | 39 |
| 19 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 38 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 42:54 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Peterborough Sports | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 41:69 | -28 | 33 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30:55 | -25 | 32 |
| 23 | Hereford | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 28 |
| 24 | Leamington | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 23:59 | -36 | 19 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation