Merthyr Town vs Bedford Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
7:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Ebanks C. ,
  • 6', 1 - 1, Ryan-Phillips C. ,
  • 29', 2 - 1, Cox C. ,
  • 30', 3 - 1, Garrick J. ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 54', 4 - 1, Twamley L. ,
  • 64', 5 - 1, Handley T. ,
  • 80', 6 - 1, Rai K. ,
  • 90', 7 - 1, Xavier-Jones T. ,

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
50%
Draw
22.5%
Bedford Town
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 23.2% 26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 22.3% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Merthyr Town - Bedford Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.84)
    4.12
    (4)
    3.36
    (3.52)
    8.4%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
    • Merthyr has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bedford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Merthyr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Merthyr might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Bedford Town were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Bedford Town - Merthyr Town 3:4
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    Latest results of Bedford Town
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde33243682:354775
    2South Shields33228374:284674
    3Merthyr Town362031380:631763
    4Darlington33168964:471756
    5Kidderminster321511644:35956
    6Radcliffe351741463:55855
    7AFC Telford341411967:462153
    8Scarborough3514111049:44553
    9Macclesfield31157956:461052
    10Chester3613111252:57-550
    11Marine321461243:48-548
    12Spennymoor331371344:57-1346
    13Buxton341361556:49745
    14Curzon Ashton351291456:63-745
    15Chorley341191454:52242
    16Worksop361181745:62-1741
    17Southport359121447:56-939
    18Bedford361091755:65-1039
    19Kingu2019s Lynn349111441:48-738
    20Oxford City35981842:54-1235
    21Peterborough Sports35962041:69-2833
    22Alfreton30881430:55-2532
    23Hereford28771435:50-1528
    24Leamington33472223:59-3619

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation