Result
2:6
11/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 3.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (210/286) | 86% (420/490) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 3.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (210/286) | 86% (420/490) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (35/67) | 54% (32/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (65/110) | 77% (90/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.74 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -3.26 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Simeu D. ↓, Olson C. ↑,
- 36', Morley A. (Pen),
- 44', 0 - 1, Osei-Tutu J. ⚽, Taylor R. (A),
- 45+3', Dacres-Cogley J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 5)
- 48', 0 - 2, McAtee J. ⚽, Taylor R. (A),
- 61', Stevens J. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 3, Forss M. ⚽, Dalby S. (A),
- 65', 0 - 4, Forss M. ⚽, Dacres-Cogley J. (A),
- 67', McAtee J. ↓, Ritchie T. ↑,
- 73', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
- 73', Morley A. ↓, Irwin H. ↑,
- 73', Forss M. ↓, Warren C. ↑,
- 74', Dempsey K. 🟨,
- 75', Quigley J. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 4, Drummond K. ⚽, Harratt K. (A),
- 80', 1 - 5, Ritchie T. ⚽, Hogan S. (A),
- 83', 1 - 6, Dalby S. ⚽,
- 87', Dalby S. ↓, Lawrence D. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 6, Morris K. ⚽, Fondop-Talum M. (A),
- 90+3', Woods R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oldham Athletic
12.8% | Draw
19.7% | Bolton Wanderers
67.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Oldham Athletic - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.14 ↑
(5.33) |
4.73 ↑
(4.13) |
1.4 ↓
(1.55) |
6.7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Bolton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Bolton (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Oldham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bolton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Bolton is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Bolton Wanderers?
Oldham Athletic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Oldham Athletic?
Bolton Wanderers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 10 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Luton | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | West Ham U21 | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Northampton | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Port Vale | Stockport County | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | Northampton | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Doncaster | Stockport County | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Luton | Northampton | |
Final
