Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (216/339) | 66% (206/314) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (216/339) | 66% (206/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (28/83) | 34% (29/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (81/142) | 59% (93/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', Woods R. 🟨,
- 4', 0 - 1, Oluwo A. ⚽, Garbutt L. (A),
- 45+3', 0 - 2, Udoh D. ⚽, Graydon R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hammond O. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 2, Hawkes J. ⚽, Pett T. (A),
- 63', Garner J. 🟨,
- 75', Fondop-Talum M. 🟨,
- 80', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Dorrington A. ↑,
- 83', Mnoga H. 🟨,
- 87', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Leake J. ↑,
- 90', Graydon R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Graydon R. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oldham Athletic
29.8% | Draw
27.8% | Salford City
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldham Athletic's form might have worsened.Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Oldham Athletic - Salford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(2.44) |
3.39 ↑
(3.35) |
2.23 ↓
(2.62) |
6.4%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oldham Athletic - Salford City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Salford will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2.
- Oldham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Salford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Oldham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Oldham has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
Mellon M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Salford: Bird J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Edwards T.
(Inactive)
Rose M.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J.
(Injury)
Daniels D.
(Inactive)
Ogle R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Salford: Ashley O.
(Inactive)
Awe Z.
(Inactive)
Cesay K.
(Inactive)
N'Mai K.
(Injury)
Woodburn B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Salford City?
Oldham Athletic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Oldham Athletic?
Salford City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oldham Athletic - Salford City were as follows:
18.10.2025
Salford City
-
Oldham Athletic
1:0
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
Latest results of Salford City
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
