Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
SC Lusitânia 18.7% | Draw 24.9% | União da Serra 56.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)União da Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União da Serra's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (-4%)
SC Lusitânia - União da Serra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.84 ↑ (3.95) |
3.63 ↑ (3.45) |
1.61 ↓ (1.79) |
10.5% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for SC Lusitânia - União da Serra?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. União da Serra (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - União da Serra (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. União da Serra (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5).
- SC Lusitânia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- União da Serra is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, União da Serra is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has SC Lusitânia won against União da Serra?
SC Lusitânia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has União da Serra won against SC Lusitânia?
União da Serra has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SC Lusitânia - União da Serra were as follows:
09.11.2025
União da Serra
-
SC Lusitânia
2:0
Latest results of SC Lusitânia
Latest results of União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 30:8 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 32:22 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Uniao Da Serra | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 30:12 | 18 | 38 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 33 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 31 |
| 8 | Peniche | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 | Lajense | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 26 |
| 10 | Fatima | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:28 | -13 | 23 |
| 12 | Electrico | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 31:55 | -24 | 19 |
| 13 | Samora Correia | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 17 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 21:40 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation