Chapulineros de Oaxaca vs Jaguares de Chiapas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
15/11/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 12

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 59', 1 - 0, ,
  • 63', (Pen),
  • 63', 2 - 0, ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90+1', (Pen),
  • Penalties (6 - 5)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chapulineros de Oaxaca
25.6%
Draw
25%
Jaguares de Chiapas
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.5% 25.2% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 24.7% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapulineros de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Jaguares de Chiapas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapulineros de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Jaguares de Chiapas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.56
    (3.87)
    3.65
    (3.6)
    1.85
    (1.77)
    9.6%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Jaguares de Chiapas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chapulineros (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
    • In recent matches, Chapulineros has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chiapas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chiapas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Jaguares de Chiapas
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Alacranes de Durango ✔ 2319010366:1467
    2Cimarrones de Sonora2413160442:1949
    3Tigres de Alica2414130641:2349
    4Leones Negros 22414020839:2646
    5Tecos2413040745:3145
    6Tritones Vallarta2311210929:2640
    7Los Cabos24110301037:3637
    8Mineros de Fresnillo249142833:3736
    9Guerreros de Autlan237052936:3829
    10Ensenada FC2480201429:5028
    11UA Zacatecas2470401326:4526
    12Reboceros de La Piedad2351111533:5720
    13ACF Zapotlanejo2350111637:6618
    14Colima FC2330301720:4513


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca ✔ 2418220246:1863
    2Santiago2312061431:2043
    3Halcones2410061740:2641
    4Zacatepec2410180524:1440
    5Matamoros2310050827:1937
    6Lobos ULMX2410060831:2437
    7Club Calor229071529:2335
    8Correcaminos 2248070925:2333
    9Chilpancingo247080929:3929
    10Cordobes FC2461601125:2726
    11Canamy235081932:4026
    12Zitacuaro234190920:2924
    13Ciervos2431421419:4318
    14Atletico Hidalgo2431411522:5516


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz ✔ 2220020049:867
    2Deportiva Venados2212141453:2446
    3Celaya2211131640:2642
    4Inter Playa Del Carmen2310241631:2839
    5Tapachula22110011045:3438
    6Montaneses229220930:2635
    7Pioneros2291111033:3333
    8Chiapas229023832:3132
    9Heroes de Zaci208021926:3727
    10Chapulineros2241601120:3221
    11Canoneros2142111319:4219
    12Neza FC2250201524:6019
    13Dragones Toluca2240301521:4217

          Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Alacranes de Durango is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Apodaca is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )
    Racing de Veracruz is Qualified for Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs )