Universitatea Craiova vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
1:0
27/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.38
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
75% (289/383)81% (405/501)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.05
Total shots
89
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
35
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1621
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1817
Passes
75% (289/383)81% (405/501)
Long passes
41% (29/70)34% (18/53)
Passes in final third
45% (28/62)58% (69/119)
Crosses
0% (0/3)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.170.27
Throw-ins
3032
Fouls
1718
Tackles
52% (12/23)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6848
Clearances
3417
Interceptions
1017
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.050.82
Goals prevented
-0.95-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Bell S. 🟨,
  • 24', Zentner R. ↓, Riess L. ↑,
  • 41', Rus A. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Baiaram S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bell S. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
  • 57', Amiri N. 🟨,
  • 61', Nordin A. ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
  • 61', Bobzien B. ↓, Lee Jae-Sung ↑,
  • 64', Baiaram S. ↓, Etim M. ↑,
  • 64', Nsimba S. ↓, Al Hamlawi A. ↑,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Al Hamlawi A. (Pen),
  • 74', Bancu N. 🟨,
  • 75', Maloney L. ↓, Sano K. ↑,
  • 82', Cicaldau A. ↓, Teles ↑,
  • 82', Baluta T. ↓, Cretu A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Isenko P. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Henriksen B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Stevanovic N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Universitatea Craiova
22.2%		Draw
25.3%		Mainz
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 25.3% 52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 24.2% 50.2%

Universitatea Craiova - Mainz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.27 ↑
(4.25)		 3.76 ↑
(3.75)		 1.81 ↑
(1.81)		 5.4%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universitatea Craiova - Mainz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Mainz will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Uni Craiova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mainz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Mainz has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Mainz is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Uni Craiova: Mora C. (Muscle Injury) Paradela L. (Inactive) Radulescu M. (Knee Injury) Screciu V. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bos K. (Inactive) Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Tauer N. (Inactive)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Universitatea Craiova
    21.11.2025 Argeș Pitești - Universitatea Craiova 1:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Universitatea Craiova - UTA Arad 1:2 ✺
    06.11.2025 Rapid Wien - Universitatea Craiova 0:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Universitatea Craiova - Rapid Bucureşti 2:2 ✺
    29.10.2025 Sănătatea Servicii Publice Cluj - Universitatea Craiova 1:4 ✺
    Latest results of Mainz
    21.11.2025 Mainz - Hoffenheim 1:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:0 ✺
    06.11.2025 Mainz - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Mainz - Werder Bremen 1:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Mainz - Stuttgart 0:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

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