Result
2:1
29/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 12
- Referee: Polychronis F. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Poland | SportKlub |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (454/530) | 70% (197/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (454/530) | 70% (197/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (23/47) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (101/138) | 40% (26/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Pantelakis E. 🟨,
- 12', Racic U. 🟨,
- 13', Mourgos S. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Moron L. ⚽,
- 33', Garate L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Garate L. 🟨,
- 50', Mourgos S. ↓, Sourlis V. ↑,
- 54', Rose L. 🟨,
- 58', Gianniotas G. ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 63', Kossonou A. ↓, Deligiannidis P. ↑,
- 63', Staikos P. ↓, Atanasov J. ↑,
- 63', Moron L. 🟨,
- 71', Morutan O. ↓, Panagidis M. ↑,
- 78', Ferigra E. 🟨,
- 81', Apostolakis K. 🟨,
- 81', Andrada L. ↓, Faisal K. ↑,
- 81', Pantelakis E. ↓, Pasas G. ↑,
- 88', Racic U. ↓, Gning M. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Pasas G. (Pen),
- 90+9', 2 - 1, Dudu ⚽,
- 90+10', Dudu 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aris
62.1% | Draw
23.3% | AEL Larissa
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Aris - AEL Larissa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.49) |
4.08 ↑
(3.8) |
6.44 ↓
(7.35) |
6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Aris - AEL Larissa?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Larissa will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Larissa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 2.
- Aris has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Larissa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Aris has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Aris is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Aris: Donis A.
(Inactive)
Jensen F.
(Inactive)
Kadewere T.
(Knee Injury)
Mendyl H.
(Knee Injury)
Misehouy G.
(Muscle Injury)
Monchu
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Larissa: Deligiannidis P.
(Injury)
Perez F.
(Yellow Cards)
Vignato E.
(Inactive)
Warda A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aris won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against AEL Larissa?
Aris has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Aris?
AEL Larissa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aris - AEL Larissa were as follows:
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 30:7 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | PAOK | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29:10 | 19 | 32 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 31:17 | 14 | 22 |
| 5 | Volos | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Panathinaikos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Aris | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 16 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Asteras Tripolis | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Atromitos | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | OFI Crete | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11:25 | -14 | 9 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:31 | -24 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
