Result
1:1
22/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Relegation Group - Round 4
- Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (388/454) | 77% (249/323) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (388/454) | 77% (249/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (25/44) | 34% (19/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (106/134) | 68% (52/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Pombo J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 24', Larouci Y. 🟨,
- 31', Naor G. 🟨,
- 36', Christopoulos A. 🟨,
- 45', Apostolakis K. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nunnely C. ↓, Miguel Tavares ↑,
- 46', Ferigra E. ↓, Olafsson D. ↑,
- 46', Chatzistravos Z. ↓, Kakuta G. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Sagal A. ⚽, Naor G. (A),
- 67', Naor G. ↓, Sourlis V. ↑,
- 75', Pombo J. ↓, Bernardo ↑,
- 75', Christopoulos A. ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
- 75', Antonisse J. ↓, Mijic P. ↑,
- 81', Sagal A. ↓, Ngoy J. ↑,
- 90+4', Miguel Tavares ↓, Botia A. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEL Larissa
35.6% | Draw
29.5% | AE Kifisia
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)AE Kifisia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Larissa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AE Kifisia than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AE Kifisia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AEL Larissa - AE Kifisia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.32) |
3.16 ↑
(3.13) |
2.68 ↓
(3.03) |
6.5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AEL Larissa - AE Kifisia?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kifisia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Larissa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kifisia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Larissa: Kossonou A.
(Injury)
Mourgos S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kifisia: Johnson Eboh T.
(Inactive)
Maidana L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Larissa: Rosic L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kifisia: Sousa H.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against AE Kifisia?
AEL Larissa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AE Kifisia won against AEL Larissa?
AE Kifisia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Larissa - AE Kifisia were as follows:
10.01.2026
AE Kifisia
-
AEL Larissa
1:1
30.08.2025
AEL Larissa
-
AE Kifisia
1:1
11.05.2025
AEL Larissa
-
AE Kifisia
1:0
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Latest results of AE Kifisia
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 34:45 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 22:62 | -40 | 27 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 25 |
| 14 | AEL Larissa | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 24 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
