Result
1:0
10/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, Q Football Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 China | iQIYI |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (240/341) | 81% (433/534) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (240/341) | 81% (433/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (21/77) | 32% (20/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (35/86) | 71% (109/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 9% (3/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Soma Y. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
- 25', 1 - 0, Nakamura H. ⚽, Na Sang-Ho (A),
- 34', Tuci M. ↓, Lee You-Hyeon ↑,
- 34', Lee Seung-Won ↓, Kim Dae-Won ↑,
- 37', Lavi N. 🟨,
- 45+1', Lee You-Hyeon 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Park Sang-Hyeok ↓, Hleihel A. ↑,
- 59', Sento K. ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
- 59', Mochizuki H. ↓, Okamura D. ↑,
- 61', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Kang Y. ↑,
- 72', Kang Joon-Hyuck ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
- 79', Shirasaki R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lavi N. ↓, Mae H. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5cbrrnkt
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
54.1% | Draw
28.2% | Gangwon
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)The chances for Gangwon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Machida Zelvia - Gangwon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.69) |
3.33 ↓
(3.45) |
5.3 ↑
(5.28) |
6.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Gangwon?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Gangwon will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 44.9% – 88.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gangwon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Machida Zelvia (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 4 - 80%). Gangwon (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Machida Zelvia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gangwon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Gangwon?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gangwon won against Machida Zelvia?
Gangwon has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Gangwon were as follows:
03.03.2026
Gangwon
-
Machida Zelvia
0:0
25.11.2025
Gangwon
-
Machida Zelvia
1:3
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Gangwon
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
