Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 28
- Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (302/369) | 69% (205/296) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (302/369) | 69% (205/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (9/31) | 29% (23/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (78/109) | 60% (72/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Yepes G. 🟨,
- 23', Lovato M. 🟥,
- 29', Saporiti E. ↓, Guarino G. ↑,
- 42', 1 - 0, Rao E. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Shpendi S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Esteves T. 🟨,
- 62', Yepes G. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
- 62', Fila D. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 64', Esteves T. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Maggiore G. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
- 77', Piscopo K. ↓, Mane M. ↑,
- 77', Rao E. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
- 80', Shpendi S. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
- 80', Curto M. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
- 89', Maggiore G. ↓, Braunoder M. ↑,
- 89', Moncini G. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
- 90+1', Cistana A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bari
32.1% | Draw
29.3% | Empoli
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-2%)
Bari - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.71) |
3.19 ↑
(3.1) |
2.44 ↓
(2.57) |
6.4%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bari - Empoli?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Empoli will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27% – 65.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Empoli (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.
- Recent performances by Bari have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Empoli has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Bari: Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Dickmann L.
(Inactive)
Sibilli G.
(Suspended)
Verreth M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Empoli: Ghion A.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bari won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Empoli?
Bari has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Bari?
Empoli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Empoli were as follows:
29.11.2025
Empoli
-
Bari
5:0
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
