Result
0:0
11/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 24
- Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (321/399) | 76% (268/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (321/399) | 76% (268/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (20/44) | 33% (15/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (90/120) | 71% (75/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Bonfanti G. 🟨,
- 25', Verreth M. ↓, Braunoder M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Bonfanti G. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
- 58', Skjellerup L. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 66', Cavuoti N. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 71', Vignali L. ↓, Sernicola L. ↑,
- 71', Bellemo A. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
- 77', Odenthal C. ↓, Mantovani V. ↑,
- 77', Traore D. ↓, Esteves T. ↑,
- 77', Cuni M. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
- 90', Comotto C. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bari
32.5% | Draw
32.9% | Spezia
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bari's form might have worsened.Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Bari - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.43) |
2.87 ↓
(3.12) |
2.72 ↓
(2.83) |
6.2%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bari - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Spezia will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.5% – 84.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Spezia (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Bari (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bari (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Spezia (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Spezia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bari: Artioli F.
(Inactive)
Burgio R.
(Inactive)
Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Nikolaou D.
(Muscle Injury)
Partipilo A.
(Inactive)
Sibilli G.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Injury)
Cassata F.
(Muscle Injury)
Lapadula G.
(Inactive)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bari: Odenthal C.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bari won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Spezia?
Bari has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Bari?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Spezia were as follows:
07.11.2025
Spezia
-
Bari
1:1
29.12.2024
Bari
-
Spezia
2:0
25.10.2024
Spezia
-
Bari
0:0
03.03.2024
Bari
-
Spezia
1:1
15.12.2023
Spezia
-
Bari
1:0
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
