Negele Arsi Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Premier League - Round 26

Match Stats


Ball possession
37%	63%
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
2	5
Corner kicks
0	7
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
3	5
Corner kicks
0	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Chances of winning

Negele Arsi Ketema
35.3%

Draw
32.9%

Ethiopian Medhin
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

30.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

30.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Negele Arsi Ketema's form might have worsened.

Ethiopian Medhin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethiopian Medhin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Negele Arsi Ketema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ethiopian Medhin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.02)	2.75 ↓ (2.98)	2.85 ↓ (3.91)	10.6% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin?

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Negele Arsi Ketema will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ethiopian Medhin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 17).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Negele Arsi Ketema could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Negele Arsi Ketema won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Negele Arsi Ketema won against Ethiopian Medhin?

Negele Arsi Ketema has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ethiopian Medhin won against Negele Arsi Ketema?

Ethiopian Medhin has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin were as follows:

25.11.2025 Ethiopian Medhin - Negele Arsi Ketema 0:1

Latest results of Negele Arsi Ketema

05.04.2026 Adama City - Negele Arsi Ketema 1:2 ✺

15.03.2026 Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethio Electric 0:2 ✺

09.03.2026 Bahir Dar Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema 0:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Saint George - Negele Arsi Ketema 0:0 ✺

26.02.2026 Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Ethiopian Medhin

04.04.2026 Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna 0:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin 0:2 ✺

09.03.2026 Ethiopian Medhin - Hadiya Hossana 1:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Sheger Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin 1:1 ✺

25.02.2026 Ethiopian Medhin - Saint George 3:0 ✺

Ethiopian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	28	15	9	4	35:17	18	54
2	Mechal	29	12	11	6	36:22	14	47
3	Negele Arsi Ketema	28	11	11	6	27:20	7	44
4	Hawassa	29	11	10	8	31:23	8	43
5	Ethio Electric	29	10	12	7	22:17	5	42
6	Fasil Kenema	28	10	12	6	19:18	1	42
7	Ethiopia Bunna	28	11	8	9	31:29	2	41
8	Sheger Ketema	29	7	15	7	26:25	1	36
9	Bahir Dar Kenema	28	7	15	6	20:21	-1	36
10	Welayta Dicha	29	7	14	8	28:27	1	35
11	St. George	28	9	8	11	24:27	-3	35
12	Ethiopian Insurance	29	7	13	9	24:23	1	34
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	28	8	10	10	35:35	0	34
14	Adama City	29	7	13	9	25:30	-5	34
15	Hadiya Hossana	28	8	10	10	25:30	-5	34
16	Dire Dawa	29	7	12	10	20:30	-10	33
17	Welwalo Adigrat	28	7	11	10	22:28	-6	32
18	Shire Endaselassie	28	6	11	11	17:22	-5	29
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta	28	6	11	11	20:30	-10	29
20	Arba Menche	28	4	12	12	21:34	-13	24

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