Result
2:2
07/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 13
- Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (154/250) | 80% (447/556) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (154/250) | 80% (447/556) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (22/69) | 37% (24/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (29/71) | 61% (93/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 33% (4/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 35', Siopis M. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Perez F. ⚽,
- 40', Chakla S. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Calabria D. ⚽, Mladenovic F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Iliadis T. 🟨,
- 58', Swiderski K. ↓, Mancini D. ↑,
- 63', Iliadis T. ↓, Kovacevic B. ↑,
- 63', Apostolakis K. ↓, Papageorgiou A. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Bakasetas A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 75', Andrada L. ↓, Sourlis V. ↑,
- 75', Perez F. ↓, Atanasov J. ↑,
- 77', Tete 🟨,
- 79', Bakasetas A. ↓, Djuricic F. ↑,
- 79', Zaroury A. ↓, Dessers C. ↑,
- 80', Chatzistravos Z. ↓, Pasas G. ↑,
- 82', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
- 85', Perez F. 🟨,
- 90+8', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Pasas G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+10', Tete ↓, Jedvaj T. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEL Larissa
12.3% | Draw
20.7% | Panathinaikos
67% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
AEL Larissa - Panathinaikos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.57 ↓
(8.45) |
4.54 ↑
(4.2) |
1.41 ↑
(1.4) |
6.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AEL Larissa - Panathinaikos?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 1.
- Larissa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Panathinaikos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Larissa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Panathinaikos has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Panathinaikos is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Larissa: Garate L.
(Red Card)
Mourgos S.
(Yellow Cards)
Pantelakis E.
(Yellow Cards)
Sagal A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Chirivella P.
(Yellow Cards)
Jeremejeff A.
(Illness)
Kyriakopoulos G.
(Injury)
Kyriopoulos G.
(Knee Injury)
Lafont A.
(Injury)
Pellistri F.
(Knock)
Sanches R.
(Injury)
Touba A.
(Red Card)
- We predict that Panathinaikos will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Panathinaikos?
AEL Larissa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against AEL Larissa?
Panathinaikos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Larissa - Panathinaikos were as follows:
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 30:7 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | PAOK | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29:10 | 19 | 32 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 31:17 | 14 | 22 |
| 5 | Volos | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Panathinaikos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Aris | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 16 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Asteras Tripolis | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Atromitos | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | OFI Crete | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11:25 | -14 | 9 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:31 | -24 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
