Result
0:2
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 23
- Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (197/333) | 53% (131/248) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (197/333) | 53% (131/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (35/101) | 27% (19/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (58/126) | 50% (56/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', Winterburn B. 🟨,
- 43', Mola C. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Senior A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Sparkes J. 🟨,
- 61', Shelton M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', McEachran J. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
- 63', Ofoborh N. 🟨,
- 74', Sotiriou R. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
- 75', Winterburn B. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 80', Thomas L. ↓, Chang A. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 2, Glover R. ⚽, Kizzi J. (A),
- 87', Kilgour A. 🟨,
- 88', Ndlovu L. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
29.2% | Draw
27.5% | Barnet
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Bristol Rovers - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↓
(3.78) |
3.37 ↑
(3.29) |
2.15 ↑
(1.92) |
7.4%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Barnet?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Barnet (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Barnet will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barnet will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Barnet (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.
- Bristol Rovers is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Barnet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barnet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Red Card)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Harrison E.
(Inactive)
Morton C.
(Inactive)
Senior J.
(Injury)
Southam-Hales M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Adeniran D.
(Inactive)
Crichlow-Noble R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Barnet?
Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Bristol Rovers?
Barnet has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Barnet were as follows:
09.12.2025
Barnet
-
Bristol Rovers
4:0
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
