Result
1:2
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 46
- Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (214/325) | 66% (250/377) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (214/325) | 66% (250/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (31/78) | 30% (28/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (72/130) | 53% (73/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Stead C. ⚽,
- 13', Brenan T. 🟨,
- 21', McCoulsky S. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Morris B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45', Tavares N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tavares N. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 46', Collinge D. 🟨,
- 64', Collinge D. ↓, Kizzi J. ↑,
- 65', Hartigan A. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
- 65', Brenan T. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
- 68', Glover R. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,
- 73', Hill T. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
- 81', Kanu I. ↓, Chinedu P. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Chinedu P. ⚽, Stead C. (A),
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
36.3% | Draw
26.4% | Barnet
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Harrogate Town - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(2.62) |
3.51 ↓
(3.59) |
2.53 ↑
(2.49) |
7%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Barnet?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Barnet will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 9).
- Recent performances by Harrogate have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Barnet is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Fox B.
(Inactive)
Marsh A.
(Inactive)
Muldoon J.
(Inactive)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Barnet?
Harrogate Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Harrogate Town?
Barnet has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Barnet were as follows:
29.11.2025
Barnet
-
Harrogate Town
1:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
