Result
1:2
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 13 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 4 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 13 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | Tabii, TRT 1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 12 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (424/490) | 84% (367/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (424/490) | 84% (367/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 43% (19/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (101/126) | 78% (95/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Moukoudi H. (Own goal),
- 7', Marin R. 🟨,
- 33', Satka L. 🟨,
- 44', Mantalos P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Moukoudi H. ↓, Vida D. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Marin R. ⚽,
- 57', Pineda O. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 2, Koita A. ⚽, Rota L. (A),
- 74', Musaba A. ↓, Bulbul T. ↑,
- 76', Jovic L. 🟨,
- 78', Ntcham O. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
- 78', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 82', Mantalos P. ↓, Grujic M. ↑,
- 84', Koita A. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
- 86', Tomasson L. ↓, Ceesay E. ↑,
- 90+3', Marin R. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Samsunspor
32.7% | Draw
31.6% | AEK Athens
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samsunspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Samsunspor - AEK Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↑
(2.47) |
3 ↓
(3.23) |
2.67 ↓
(2.74) |
5.2%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - AEK Athens?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 12 - 50%). AEK will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 30% – 70%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Samsunspor (2.01) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). AEK (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Samsunspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- AEK is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- AEK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E.
(Inactive)
Coulibaly T.
(Knee Injury)
Ndiaye C.
(Inactive)
Satka L.
(Injury)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
Ustun E.
(Inactive)
Yuksel C.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in AEK: Jonsson J.
(Inactive)
Kaloskamis D.
(Inactive)
Kolimatsis C.
(Inactive)
Kutesa D.
(Inactive)
Mitoglou G.
(Inactive)
Odubajo M.
(Inactive)
Pierrot F.
(Injury)
Zini
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ceesay E.
(Injury)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against AEK Athens?
Samsunspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Samsunspor?
AEK Athens has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - AEK Athens were as follows:
Latest results of Samsunspor
Latest results of AEK Athens
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
