Sturm Graz vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
0:1
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaServus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyRTL+, Servus TV
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 9
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 11
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.58
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
81% (348/428)73% (221/302)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.110.91
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1823
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
2114
Passes
81% (348/428)73% (221/302)
Long passes
52% (22/42)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
73% (72/98)70% (73/105)
Crosses
21% (6/29)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.26
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1421
Tackles
36% (4/11)48% (11/23)
Duels won
5358
Clearances
1838
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.910.11
Goals prevented
-0.090.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Malic A. 🟨,
  • 16', Arnautovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Ivanic M. ⚽, Elsnik T. (A),
  • 66', Chukwuani T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
  • 66', Jatta S. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
  • 68', Rodrigo 🟨,
  • 70', Ivanic M. 🟨,
  • 78', Krunic R. 🟨,
  • 79', Karic E. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
  • 79', Malic A. ↓, Bendra K. ↑,
  • 79', Malone M. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
  • 82', Milson ↓, Bajo M. ↑,
  • 87', Ivanic M. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
  • 90', Bendra K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Handel T. ↓, Kostov V. ↑,
  • 90+8', Mitchell J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Katai A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
27.9%		Draw
25%		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 25.7% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 25.2% 42%

Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.43 ↑
(2.86)		 3.81 ↑
(3.67)		 2.04 ↓
(2.29)		 4.5%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 19.5% – 53.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • DNB - Sturm (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Crvena Zvezda (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 1 - 20%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Crvena Zvezda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Inactive) Lavalee D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Lucic V. (Inactive) Sandoval K. (Inactive) Tebo Uchenna F. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Grgic L. (Injury) Mitchell J. (Injury) Rozga F. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    07.12.2025 Sturm Graz - Grazer AK 2:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol 1:3 ✺
    30.11.2025 Hartberg - Sturm Graz 0:1 ✺
    27.11.2025 Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz 2:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Sturm Graz - LASK Linz 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    07.12.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Vojvodina 0:1 ✺
    04.12.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Čukarički 3:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 OFK Beograd - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 3:4 ✺
    27.11.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - FCSB 1:0 ✺
    23.11.2025 Javor Ivanjica - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon870118:51321
    2Aston Villa870114:6821
    3Midtjylland861118:81019
    4Betis852113:7617
    5FC Porto852113:7617
    6Braga852111:5617
    7Freiburg852110:4617
    8AS Roma851213:6716
    9Genk851211:7416
    10Bologna843114:7715
    11Stuttgart850315:9615
    12Ferencvaros843112:11115
    13Nottingham842215:7814
    14Plzen83508:3514
    15Crvena zvezda84227:6114
    16Celta Vigo841315:11413
    17PAOK833217:14312
    18Lille840412:9312
    19Fenerbahce833210:7312
    20Panathinaikos833211:9212
    21Celtic832313:15-211
    22Ludogorets831412:15-310
    23Din. Zagreb831412:16-410
    24Brann82339:11-29
    25Young Boys830510:16-69
    26Sturm Graz82155:11-67
    27FCSB82159:16-77
    28G.A. Eagles82156:14-87
    29Feyenoord820611:15-46
    30Basel82069:13-46
    31Salzburg820610:15-56
    32Rangers81165:14-94
    33Nice81077:15-83
    34Utrecht80175:15-101
    35Malmo FF80174:15-111
    36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:22-201

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