Sturm Graz vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
0:1
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaServus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyRTL+, Servus TV
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 9
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 11
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.58
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
81% (348/428)73% (221/302)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.110.91
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1823
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
2114
Passes
81% (348/428)73% (221/302)
Long passes
52% (22/42)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
73% (72/98)70% (73/105)
Crosses
21% (6/29)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.26
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1421
Tackles
36% (4/11)48% (11/23)
Duels won
5358
Clearances
1838
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.910.11
Goals prevented
-0.090.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Malic A. 🟨,
  • 16', Arnautovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Ivanic M. ⚽, Elsnik T. (A),
  • 66', Chukwuani T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
  • 66', Jatta S. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
  • 68', Rodrigo 🟨,
  • 70', Ivanic M. 🟨,
  • 78', Krunic R. 🟨,
  • 79', Karic E. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
  • 79', Malic A. ↓, Bendra K. ↑,
  • 79', Malone M. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
  • 82', Milson ↓, Bajo M. ↑,
  • 87', Ivanic M. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
  • 90', Bendra K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Handel T. ↓, Kostov V. ↑,
  • 90+8', Mitchell J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Katai A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
27.9%		Draw
25%		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 25.7% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 25.2% 42%

Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.43 ↑
(2.86)		 3.81 ↑
(3.67)		 2.04 ↓
(2.29)		 4.5%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 19.5% – 53.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Crvena Zvezda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Inactive) Lavalee D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Lucic V. (Inactive) Sandoval K. (Inactive) Tebo Uchenna F. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Grgic L. (Injury) Mitchell J. (Injury) Rozga F. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    07.12.2025 Sturm Graz - Grazer AK 2:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol 1:3 ✺
    30.11.2025 Hartberg - Sturm Graz 0:1 ✺
    27.11.2025 Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz 2:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Sturm Graz - LASK Linz 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    07.12.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Vojvodina 0:1 ✺
    04.12.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Čukarički 3:0 ✺
    03.12.2025 Budućnost Dobanovci - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Postponed
    30.11.2025 OFK Beograd - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 3:4 ✺
    27.11.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - FCSB 1:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon650113:31015
    2Midtjylland650113:5815
    3Aston Villa650110:4615
    4Betis642011:4714
    5Freiburg64209:3614
    6Ferencvaros642011:6514
    7Braga641110:5513
    8FC Porto64119:5413
    9Stuttgart640212:5712
    10AS Roma640210:5512
    11Nottingham632111:6511
    12Fenerbahce63219:5411
    13Bologna63219:5411
    14Plzen62406:2410
    15Panathinaikos63129:7210
    16Genk63127:6110
    17Crvena zvezda63125:5010
    18PAOK623113:1039
    19Celta Vigo630312:939
    20Lille630310:739
    21Young Boys63038:12-49
    22Brann62226:7-18
    23Ludogorets621311:14-37
    24Celtic62137:11-47
    25Din. Zagreb62138:13-57
    26Basel62048:9-16
    27FCSB62047:11-46
    28G.A. Eagles62045:11-66
    29Sturm Graz61144:8-44
    30Feyenoord61057:13-63
    31Salzburg61055:11-63
    32Utrecht60153:9-61
    33Rangers60153:11-81
    34Malmo FF60153:12-91
    35Maccabi Tel Aviv60152:18-161
    36Nice60064:13-90

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    © Copyright 2025 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy