Paris FC vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
13/12/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 16
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN 4 South, TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.422.28
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
90% (547/606)82% (267/325)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.422.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.342.74
Total shots
97
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1719
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
90% (547/606)82% (267/325)
Long passes
57% (27/47)33% (11/33)
Passes in final third
81% (91/113)62% (43/69)
Crosses
23% (6/26)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.86
Throw-ins
1312
Fouls
1214
Tackles
73% (11/15)45% (5/11)
Duels won
5236
Clearances
3029
Interceptions
62
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.740.34
Goals prevented
-0.260.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', Sidibe D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 29', 0 - 1, Hidalgo S. ,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Gboho Y. , Emersonn (A),
  • 45', Methalie D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Traore H. , Sangui N. ,
  • 63', Hidalgo S. , Magri F. ,
  • 64', Methalie D. , Kamanzi W. ,
  • 69', 0 - 3, Gboho Y. , Sidibe D. (A),
  • 70', Emersonn , Messali R. ,
  • 70', Marchetti V. , Geubbels W. ,
  • 73', Camara A. 🟨,
  • 78', Ikone J. , Lopez J. ,
  • 78', Ollila T. , De Smet T. ,
  • 78', Simon M. , Krasso J. ,
  • 84', Sidibe D. , Edjouma N. ,
  • 84', Gboho Y. , Vignolo J. ,
  • 88', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 90', Otavio 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris FC
34.2%
Draw
29.9%
Toulouse
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 27.6% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 27.3% 31.6%

Paris FC - Toulouse Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.78
(2.34)
3.18
(3.42)
2.66
(2.96)
5%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Toulouse will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.8%69.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Chergui S. (Hamstring Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Lees-Melou P. (Shin Injury)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Donnum A. (Suspended) Francis A. (Broken Leg)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Paris FC
    07.12.2025 Le Havre - Paris FC 0:0
    29.11.2025 Paris FC - Auxerre 1:1
    23.11.2025 Lille - Paris FC 4:2
    07.11.2025 Paris FC - Rennes 0:1
    01.11.2025 Monaco - Paris FC 0:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    06.12.2025 Toulouse - Strasbourg 1:0
    23.11.2025 Toulouse - Angers 0:1
    09.11.2025 Lorient - Toulouse 1:1
    02.11.2025 Toulouse - Le Havre 0:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG21163248:163251
    2Lens21161437:172049
    3Lyon21133534:201442
    4Marseille21123646:271939
    5Lille21103834:30433
    6Rennes2187631:34-331
    7Strasbourg2193934:27730
    8Toulouse2186731:24730
    9Angers2185822:25-329
    10Monaco2184932:33-128
    11Lorient2177727:33-628
    12Brest2175928:33-526
    13Le Havre2158818:26-823
    14Nice21651027:38-1123
    15Paris FC2157926:34-822
    16Auxerre21351314:29-1514
    17Nantes21351319:37-1814
    18Metz21341421:46-2513

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