Diocesano vs Gévora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Nagera A. ,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Nagera A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Monroy J. ,

Chances of winning


Diocesano
42.7%
Draw
28.9%
Gévora
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 28% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 26.7% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Gévora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diocesano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Diocesano - Gévora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.95)
    3.14
    (3.24)
    3.2
    (3.57)
    10.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gévora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Diocesano might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diocesano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Diocesano - Gévora were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Gévora - Diocesano 0:0
    Latest results of Diocesano
    05.04.2026 Calamonte - Diocesano 1:1
    02.04.2026 Pueblonuevo - Diocesano 2:1
    22.03.2026 Jaraíz - Diocesano 3:0
    15.03.2026 Diocesano - Montehermoso 0:0
    Latest results of Gévora
    03.04.2026 Gévora - Villafranca 2:0
    29.03.2026 Don Benito - Gévora 2:0
    22.03.2026 Gévora - Santa Amalia 3:0
    15.03.2026 Azuaga - Gévora 2:0
    08.03.2026 Jerez - Gévora 3:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito30197459:194064
    2CD Badajoz30195649:262359
    3Moralo30169549:282157
    4Azuaga30167746:271955
    5Jaraiz301410648:272152
    6Cabeza del Buey301312539:231651
    7Villafranca301361136:35145
    8Villanovense301281037:33444
    9Montijo301171236:34240
    10Jerez CF30717650:44638
    11Llerenense301061428:36-836
    12Santa Amalia30961529:46-1733
    13Puebla307111228:40-1232
    14Diocesano306101428:49-2128
    15Gevora30681628:48-2026
    16Pueblonuevo30751824:51-2726
    17CD Calamonte303131422:36-1422
    18Montehermoso30571820:54-3422

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