Result
2:2
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 86', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fatima
29.3% | Draw
31.2% | Vitória de Sernache
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Fatima - Vitória de Sernache Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↓
(3.51) |
2.89 ↓
(3.05) |
2.28 ↑
(2.05) |
10.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
- Fatima is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sernache has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fatima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sernache might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fatima won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Fatima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatima won against Vitória de Sernache?
Fatima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória de Sernache won against Fatima?
Vitória de Sernache has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatima - Vitória de Sernache were as follows:
07.12.2025
Vitória de Sernache
-
Fatima
0:0
Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
