Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Peniche 27% | Draw 30.6% | Vitória de Sernache 42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Peniche - Vitória de Sernache Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.35 ↑ (3.15) |
2.95 ↓ (3.13) |
2.12 ↓ (2.16) |
10.8% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Peniche - Vitória de Sernache?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Sernache may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sernache will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peniche won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Peniche won against Vitória de Sernache?
Peniche has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória de Sernache won against Peniche?
Vitória de Sernache has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - Vitória de Sernache were as follows:
09.11.2025
Vitória de Sernache
-
Peniche
0:1
17.03.2024
Peniche
-
Vitória de Sernache
2:0
03.12.2023
Vitória de Sernache
-
Peniche
0:1
Latest results of Peniche
Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 17 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 5 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation