Vitória de Sernache vs Samora Correia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 23

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
123
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
52
Total shots
123
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
80
Corner kicks
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Vitória de Sernache
66.6%
Draw
22.2%
Samora Correia
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.3% 22.6% 12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7% 21.8% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória de Sernache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Vitória de Sernache - Samora Correia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.3)
    4.03
    (3.75)
    7.97
    (7)
    11.8%
    (17.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Sernache is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sernache won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória de Sernache - Samora Correia were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Samora Correia - Vitória de Sernache 0:1
    Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
    Latest results of Samora Correia
    08.03.2026 Naval - Samora Correia 2:1
    01.03.2026 Samora Correia - Mortágua 1:0
    22.02.2026 Fatima - Samora Correia 2:2
    15.02.2026 Samora Correia - Lajense 2:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache26167333:122155
    2Oliveira Hospital26148439:132650
    3Naval 189326146636:231348
    4SB Castelo Branco26144843:261746
    5Uniao Da Serra26128638:271144
    6Mortagua26116923:26-339
    7Os Marialvas261061033:28536
    8Fatima26881027:29-232
    9Lajense26881037:37032
    10Peniche26861234:43-930
    11Samora Correia26851327:35-829
    12Marinhense26591220:38-1824
    13Electrico26541733:62-2919
    14SC Lusitania26451724:48-2417

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation