Result
3:1
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 36
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (325/412) | 83% (441/530) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (325/412) | 83% (441/530) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (29/68) | 64% (37/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (103/144) | 67% (107/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 21% (9/43) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Bola M. ⚽, Chakvetadze G. (A),
- 38', 2 - 0, Kayembe E. ⚽, Irankunda N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Broadhead N. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Cleworth M. ⚽, Rathbone O. (A),
- 64', Longman R. ↓, Kabore I. ↑,
- 64', Rathbone O. ↓, Keillor-Dunn D. ↑,
- 71', Ekwah P. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
- 71', Irankunda N. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
- 75', Smith S. ↓, Cadamarteri B. ↑,
- 81', Chakvetadze G. 🟨,
- 83', Kayembe E. ↓, Bove E. ↑,
- 83', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
- 88', Vyner Z. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 90+1', Abankwah J. ↓, Keben K. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Bove E. ⚽,
- 90+5', Bove E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Watford
40.9% | Draw
28.1% | Wrexham
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-4%)
Watford - Wrexham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.09) |
3.34 ↓
(3.42) |
3.04 ↓
(3.33) |
5.9%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Watford - Wrexham?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Wrexham will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 27.4% – 68.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Wrexham (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Wrexham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Wrexham has had a series of home games.
- Watford could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Watford: Baah K.
(Injury)
Kyprianou H.
(Ankle Injury)
Maamma O.
(Injury)
Ngakia J.
(Inactive)
Petris J.
(Inactive)
Vata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Wrexham: Cacace L.
(Injury)
James A.
(Injury)
James M.
(Injury)
Moore K.
(Hamstring Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Injury)
Sheaf B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Watford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Wrexham?
Watford has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Watford?
Wrexham has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Wrexham were as follows:
13.12.2025
Wrexham
-
Watford
2:2
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Wrexham
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 41 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 84 |
| 2 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 69:40 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 41 | 20 | 12 | 9 | 62:41 | 21 | 72 |
| 5 | Hull | 41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 63:58 | 5 | 68 |
| 6 | Southampton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 68:49 | 19 | 66 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 41 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 63:58 | 5 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 41 | 18 | 9 | 14 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 41 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 55:48 | 7 | 58 |
| 10 | Watford | 41 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 52:49 | 3 | 57 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 41 | 16 | 9 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 12 | QPR | 41 | 16 | 9 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 57 |
| 13 | Stoke | 41 | 15 | 9 | 17 | 48:45 | 3 | 54 |
| 14 | Preston | 41 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 48:52 | -4 | 54 |
| 15 | Swansea | 41 | 15 | 9 | 17 | 49:54 | -5 | 54 |
| 16 | Birmingham | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 49:52 | -3 | 53 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 57:58 | -1 | 51 |
| 18 | Charlton | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 38:49 | -11 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 37:49 | -12 | 47 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 40:57 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Leicester | 41 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 54:63 | -9 | 41 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 41 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 39:54 | -15 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 41 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
