Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 35
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (181/272) | 76% (325/429) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (181/272) | 76% (325/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (20/67) | 26% (14/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (49/92) | 63% (97/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (17/23) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Wells N. ⚽, Lawrence E. (A),
- 6', Hall G. 🟨,
- 22', Johnson J. 🟨,
- 25', Humphreys C. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Waine B. ⚽, Hall G. (A),
- 40', Clark J. 🟨,
- 43', Naismith K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Wells N. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
- 61', Richards J. ↓, Palmer K. ↑,
- 66', Stockley J. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 71', Walsh L. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
- 77', Walters R. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
- 78', Hall G. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
- 80', Jones I. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 81', Lonwijk N. ↓, Odoffin H. ↑,
- 87', Waine B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Port Vale
30.1% | Draw
28.5% | Luton Town
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Port Vale - Luton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↓
(3.34) |
3.27 ↑
(3.17) |
2.26 ↑
(2.19) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Luton Town?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Luton will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 10).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Luton might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
Croasdale R.
(Inactive)
Garrity B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Luton: Bramall C.
(Inactive)
Mengi T.
(Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Inactive)
Sandal S.
(Inactive)
Walsh L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Luton Town?
Port Vale has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Port Vale?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Luton Town were as follows:
13.12.2025
Luton Town
-
Port Vale
2:2
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Luton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 41 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 77:35 | 42 | 90 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 74:42 | 32 | 78 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 41 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 52:45 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 41 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 59:42 | 17 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 40 | 18 | 10 | 12 | 42:38 | 4 | 64 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 41 | 19 | 5 | 17 | 64:56 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | Reading | 42 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 62:54 | 8 | 62 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 62:53 | 9 | 61 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 49:41 | 8 | 53 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | 59:55 | 4 | 51 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 60:64 | -4 | 51 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 56:64 | -8 | 50 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 49:62 | -13 | 50 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 41 | 14 | 8 | 19 | 42:64 | -22 | 50 |
| 18 | Wigan | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 44:55 | -11 | 49 |
| 19 | Burton | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 45:56 | -11 | 48 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 42 | 13 | 9 | 20 | 48:64 | -16 | 48 |
| 21 | Exeter | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 45:53 | -8 | 46 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 35:59 | -24 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
