Luton Town vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
13/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 20
  • Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.031.62
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
73% (299/409)58% (167/286)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.031.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.721.83
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
911
Passes
73% (299/409)58% (167/286)
Long passes
25% (20/80)24% (18/76)
Passes in final third
58% (84/146)48% (58/120)
Crosses
15% (4/26)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.33
Throw-ins
2131
Fouls
119
Tackles
35% (6/17)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5569
Clearances
4827
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.831.72
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Heneghan B. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Bramall C. ,
  • 34', Ojo F. , Walters R. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Waine B. , Paton R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Alli M. , Morris S. ,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Cole D. ,
  • 62', Saville G. , Clark J. ,
  • 62', Brown J. , Wells N. ,
  • 65', Clark J. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Andersen M. , Walsh L. (A),
  • 71', Lonwijk N. , Fanne L. ,
  • 76', Hall G. , Brown D. ,
  • 76', Paton R. , Faal M. ,
  • 77', Byers G. 🟨,
  • 85', Waine B. , Stockley J. ,
  • 85', Kyle John , Debrah J. ,
  • 86', Walsh L. , Nordas L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
52.2%
Draw
27.2%
Port Vale
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 27.1% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 26.6% 19.3%

Luton Town - Port Vale Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.8
(1.76)
3.45
(3.45)
4.54
(4.74)
6.6%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Luton (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Luton is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive) Jones I. (Injury) Wells N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Garrity B. (Inactive) Gordon L. (Injury) Lawrence-Gabriel J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Johnson M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Luton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Latest results of Port Vale
    09.12.2025 Port Vale - Bradford City Postponed
    06.12.2025 Port Vale - Bristol Rovers 1:0
    02.12.2025 Port Vale - Barnsley 5:0
    29.11.2025 Lincoln City - Port Vale 1:0
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff29186552:292360
    2Lincoln29177548:291958
    3Bolton301410638:271152
    4Stockport County29157742:35752
    5Bradford City28147736:31549
    6Huddersfield301461051:401148
    7Luton291261138:34442
    8Stevenage28119830:27342
    9Wycombe291010936:31540
    10Reading281010839:35440
    11Mansfield27108936:30638
    12Peterborough291221537:39-238
    13Exeter281141333:30337
    14Barnsley26107942:43-137
    15Plymouth291141436:42-637
    16AFC Wimbledon281051329:36-735
    17Doncaster29961433:46-1333
    18Blackpool29951535:42-732
    19Leyton Orient29951540:49-932
    20Wigan287101129:34-531
    21Rotherham28871331:40-931
    22Burton29871431:43-1231
    23Northampton29861526:38-1230
    24Port Vale27561620:38-1821

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two