Ceuta vs Las Palmas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
chileChileDirecTV Sports
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 6
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.43
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
80% (307/384)82% (390/478)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.041.16
Total shots
159
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
2228
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
80% (307/384)82% (390/478)
Long passes
39% (18/46)44% (28/64)
Passes in final third
70% (56/80)67% (92/137)
Crosses
25% (4/16)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.99
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
1611
Tackles
81% (13/16)50% (10/20)
Duels won
4152
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
1610
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.161.04
Goals prevented
0.160.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 1, Clemente E. , Amatucci L. (A),
  • 56', Jese , Lukovic M. ,
  • 61', Bodiger Y. , Youness ,
  • 61', Rodriguez C. , Anuar ,
  • 69', Viera J. , Gil I. ,
  • 73', de la Fuente K. , Zalazar K. ,
  • 75', Marvin 🟨,
  • 79', Loiodice E. , Cedeno E. ,
  • 79', Fuster M. , Gutierrez C. ,
  • 79', Viti , Alex Suarez ,
  • 80', Caro J. 🟨,
  • 86', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,
  • 88', Ahmed A. , Sanchez S. ,
  • 88', Jamelli , Ortuno J. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Matos Jose ,
  • 90+2', Romero J. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ceuta
33%
Draw
32.1%
Las Palmas
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 31.4% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 31.7% 34.8%

Ceuta - Las Palmas Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.86
(2.79)
2.92
(2.98)
2.71
(2.66)
6.1%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ceuta - Las Palmas?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 45%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2%66.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent performances by Ceuta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Las Palmas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bassinga A. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Horkas D. (Red Card) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ceuta
    07.12.2025 Granada - Ceuta 1:1
    02.12.2025 CD Guadalajara - Ceuta 1:0
    29.11.2025 Ceuta - Burgos 1:0
    26.11.2025 Ceuta - Almería 3:2
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander19114442:271537
    2Las Palmas1997323:111234
    3Dep. La Coruna1995532:211132
    4Almeria1995535:26932
    5Castellon1994630:24631
    6Cadiz CF1986520:19130
    7Gijon1993723:23030
    8Burgos CF1985624:18629
    9Ceuta1985622:23-129
    10Malaga1975726:24226
    11Cordoba1968523:23026
    12Valladolid1966720:19124
    13Andorra1966721:26-524
    14Albacete1965825:31-623
    15Huesca1965818:24-623
    16Cultural Leonesa19721020:28-823
    17Real Sociedad B19631027:29-221
    18Eibar1956821:24-321
    19Granada CF1949621:24-321
    20Leganes1948717:20-320
    21Zaragoza19451016:30-1417
    22Mirandes19441119:31-1216

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation