Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:1
20/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.852.31
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
78% (295/378)84% (472/562)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.852.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.19
Total shots
99
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1226
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
128
Passes
78% (295/378)84% (472/562)
Long passes
41% (24/58)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
57% (43/75)71% (110/155)
Crosses
26% (5/19)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.54
Throw-ins
1924
Fouls
812
Tackles
50% (9/18)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5048
Clearances
3222
Interceptions
159
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.190.84
Goals prevented
0.19-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Lokonga A. S. ⚽,
  • 26', 1 - 1, Larsson H. ⚽, Brown N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bahoya J. ↓, Hojlund O. ↑,
  • 60', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Jatta B. ↑,
  • 61', Elfadli D. ↓, Soumahoro A. ↑,
  • 70', Balde F. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
  • 71', Kristensen R. ↓, Baum E. ↑,
  • 71', Larsson H. ↓, Uzun C. Y. ↑,
  • 82', Knauff A. ↓, Ngankam J. ↑,
  • 84', Baum E. ↓, Buta ↑,
  • 87', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
  • 88', Philippe R. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
39.1%		Draw
27.6%		Eintracht Frankfurt
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 25.7% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 26.1% 38.7%

Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.45 ↓
(2.63)		 3.45 ↓
(3.69)		 2.87 ↑
(2.49)		 4.6%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Eintracht Frankfurt?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Eintracht will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 18.5% – 61.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Eintracht (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0.
    • Hamburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Eintracht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Eintracht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Dompe J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Glatzel R. (Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury) Poulsen Y. (Ankle Injury) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Eintracht: Batshuayi M. (Foot Injury) Chaibi F. (International duty) Chandler T. (Ankle Injury) Skhiri E. (International duty) Theate A. (Yellow Cards) Wahi E. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Hamburg: Ramos G. (Injury) Vieira F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Eintracht: Burkardt J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    13.12.2025 Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV 4:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen 3:2 ✺
    03.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel 1:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Stuttgart 2:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Augsburg - Hamburger SV 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Eintracht Frankfurt
    13.12.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg 1:0 ✺
    09.12.2025 Barcelona - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt 6:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg 1:1 ✺
    26.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Atalanta 0:3 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich14122051:114038
    2Dortmund1595126:121432
    3Bayer Leverkusen1592433:201329
    4RB Leipzig1592430:191129
    5Hoffenheim1583429:20927
    6Stuttgart1582525:22326
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1574430:30025
    8Union Berlin1563620:23-321
    9Freiburg1555525:26-120
    10Werder Bremen1545618:28-1017
    11FC Koln1544722:24-216
    12B. Monchengladbach1544718:24-616
    13Hamburger SV1544716:25-916
    14Wolfsburg1543823:28-515
    15Augsburg1542917:28-1114
    16St. Pauli1432913:26-1311
    17Heidenheim1432913:30-1711
    18Mainz1414913:26-137

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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