Lokomotiv Sofia vs Hebar Pazardzhik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
25/05/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
20
Blocked Shots
37
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1512
Throw-ins
721
Fouls
913
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Ganev C. 🟨,
  • 24', Petrovic M. 🟨,
  • 30', Velchev K. , Cavar B. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Dikov S. , Delev S. ,
  • 51', Ganev C. , Gigov N. ,
  • 56', Nenov Y. , Arkhipov V. ,
  • 56', Chachev K. , Gogev E. ,
  • 56', Manolkov E. , Borisov K. ,
  • 71', Metanov N. , Drinov N. ,
  • 71', Rosa M. , Paskulov D. ,
  • 72', Tsoumou J. , Lazarov L. ,
  • 73', Pitsolis A. , Ivanov L. ,
  • 78', Cavar B. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Diarra M. ,
  • 89', 2 - 0, Aralica A. (Pen),
  • 90+2', 3 - 0, Aralica A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Sofia
59.8%
Draw
22.1%
Hebar Pazardzhik
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 20.5% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 19.3% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Hebar Pazardzhik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Sofia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.46)
    4.18
    (4.51)
    5.1
    (5.71)
    7.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hebar will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hebar (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2.
    • Lokomotiv Sofia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hebar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lokomotiv Sofia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lokomotiv Sofia is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Lokomotiv Sofia: Acka D. (Knee Injury) Stanoev K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Hebar: Guermouche Y. (Yellow Cards) Makni N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hebar: Angelov Y. (Injury)
    • We predict that Lokomotiv Sofia will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia 2:1
    27.09.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik 0:0
    28.04.2024 Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:2
    16.02.2024 Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:1
    18.08.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik 0:1
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
    Latest results of Hebar Pazardzhik
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia22172352:143853
    2Ludogorets22127341:172443
    3CSKA Sofia22117433:171640
    4CSKA 1948 Sofia22124633:25840
    5Cherno More2299426:151136
    6Lok. Plovdiv22810424:24034
    7Slavia Sofia2277824:26-228
    8Arda2277823:23028
    9Botev Vratsa2269716:19-327
    10Lok. Sofia2169624:23127
    11Botev Plovdiv22741127:33-625
    12Spartak Varna22311821:33-1220
    13Dobrudzha22541317:29-1219
    14Beroe22391017:34-1718
    15Septemvri Sofia21531320:44-2418
    16Montana22361314:36-2215

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