Stal Mielec vs Pogoń Szczecin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/02/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 21
  • Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.85
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1611
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
62
Blocked Shots
65
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
159
Offsides
51
Fouls
915
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
3214
Touches in the Opposition Box
3330
Passes
79% (327/414)71% (244/346)
Passes in the final third
69% (94/136)65% (74/113)
Crosses
30% (8/27)31% (5/16)
Tackles
57% (8/14)60% (12/20)
Clearances Total
3529
Interceptions
109

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Leo Borges 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. ,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Przyborek A. ,
  • 66', Hannola P. , Guillaumier M. ,
  • 66', Shkurin I. , Wolsztynski L. ,
  • 67', Wedrychowski M. , Klukowski A. ,
  • 75', Dadok R. , Kadzior D. ,
  • 75', Krykun S. , Wolkowicz K. ,
  • 82', Grosicki K. , Korczakowski O. ,
  • 85', Getinger K. , Matras M. ,
  • 86', Smolinski K. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Matras M. ,
  • 90+1', Lis J. , Lisowski W. ,
  • 90+1', Koutris L. , Keramitsis D. ,
  • 90+2', Koulouris E. , Paryzek P. ,
  • 90+5', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Lisowski W. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
36.2%
Draw
28.8%
Pogoń Szczecin
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 28.7% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stal Mielec's performance.
  • Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Szczecin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Stal Mielec - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (3.17)
    3.23
    (3.24)
    2.67
    (2.21)
    7.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Pogoń Szczecin?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 30.4%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 2.
    • Stal Mielec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Ulvestad F. (Yellow Cards) Wahlqvist L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Malec M. (Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Stal Mielec 1:0
    17.05.2024 Stal Mielec - Pogoń Szczecin 0:0
    25.11.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Stal Mielec 2:3
    22.04.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Stal Mielec 4:2
    07.10.2022 Stal Mielec - Pogoń Szczecin 4:2
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan311510656:411555
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3GKS Katowice311451248:42647
    4Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    5Rakow301371043:37646
    6Zaglebie311291043:36745
    7Wisla Plock311291032:31145
    8Radomiak Radom3111101049:44543
    9Pogon Szczecin311251443:45-241
    10Piast Gliwice311171340:41-140
    11Legia31913935:36-140
    12Korona Kielce311091238:37139
    13Cracovia319121035:38-339
    14Motor Lublin319121039:46-739
    15Lechia Gdansk311271258:57138
    16Widzew Lodz311061536:38-236
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B31771737:60-2328

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1