Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
ACR Messina 36.6% | Draw 33.2% | Igea Virtus Barcellona 30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Igea Virtus Barcellona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Igea Virtus Barcellona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.49 ↑ (2.43) |
2.75 ↓ (3.43) |
3.02 ↑ (2.49) |
9.6% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- In recent matches, ACR Messina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Igea Virtus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ACR Messina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, ACR Messina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has ACR Messina won against Igea Virtus Barcellona?
ACR Messina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Igea Virtus Barcellona won against ACR Messina?
Igea Virtus Barcellona has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona were as follows:
Latest results of ACR Messina
Latest results of Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 41:21 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Athletic Palermo | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46:29 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Reggina | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Nissa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 40 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 27:28 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Gela | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 35:34 | 1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sambiase | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 34:25 | 9 | 35 |
| 11 | Enna | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 26 |
| 14 | Sancataldese | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 32:44 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Castrumfavara | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Paterno | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 15:53 | -38 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation