Naval vs Os Marialvas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
52
Total shots
77
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Naval
46.2%
Draw
29.5%
Os Marialvas
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 27.5% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 26.1% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Naval - Os Marialvas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.92)
    3.07
    (3.3)
    3.72
    (3.58)
    10.4%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 9).
    • Naval is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Marialvas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Naval could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Naval
    07.12.2025 Lajense - Naval 0:1
    29.11.2025 Mortágua - Naval 2:2
    09.11.2025 Naval - Fatima 3:0
    02.11.2025 Samora Correia - Naval 1:1
    26.10.2025 Naval - Peniche 2:0
    Latest results of Os Marialvas
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache19135128:72144
    2SB Castelo Branco19112635:191635
    3Naval 18931995526:19732
    4Mortagua1995519:18132
    5Oliveira Hospital1987423:111231
    6Uniao Da Serra1987429:191031
    7Os Marialvas1873825:22324
    8Peniche1966721:26-524
    9Fatima1957717:21-422
    10Lajense2057826:28-222
    11Marinhense1747611:20-919
    12Samora Correia19451013:25-1217
    13SC Lusitania20441220:34-1416
    14Electrico20341323:47-2413

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation