Result
4:2
25/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 37
- Referee: Albayrak A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 3.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (349/425) | 75% (236/315) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 3.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (349/425) | 75% (236/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 32% (19/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (84/113) | 55% (46/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 100% (11/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 2.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -1.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Arslan E. 🟨,
- 35', Gonulacar M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Gazanfer S. 🟨,
- 42', Ating P. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Azrak Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, Altiparmak G. ⚽, Skvortsov L. (A),
- 55', Osman S. 🟨,
- 65', Kosker K. ↓, Nefiz E. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Arslan E. ⚽,
- 75', Azrak Y. ↓, Danjuma M. ↑,
- 75', Ating P. ↓, Chaadaev R. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Koc A. ⚽,
- 84', 3 - 2, Nalepa M. ⚽, Ozcan S. (A),
- 86', Demir C. 🟨,
- 86', Cinemre H. 🟨,
- 88', Altiparmak G. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
- 89', Durmushan U. ↓, Aydin S. M. ↑,
- 89', Arslan E. ↓, Yilmaz C. ↑,
- 89', Gonulacar M. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
- 90+2', Ozcan S. ↓, Akyildiz A. D. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Sadygov I. ⚽, Akyildiz A. D. (A),
Chances of winning
Serik Belediyespor
49.5% | Draw
24.3% | Hatayspor
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serik Belediyespor's form might have worsened.Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hatayspor's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+23.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hatayspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Serik Belediyespor - Hatayspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.36) |
3.94 ↓
(5.09) |
3.76 ↓
(6.98) |
5.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Serik Belediyespor - Hatayspor?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hatayspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Serik Belediyespor is Relegated to
- Hatayspor is Relegated to
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Serik Belediyespor is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Demir I.
(Tendon Injury)
Guibero R.
(Inactive)
Montes A.
(Yellow Cards)
Okoro J.
(Inactive)
Spasov G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Bamgboye F.
(Inactive)
Massanga Matondo
(Inactive)
Ozgun T.
(Suspended)
Vatansever B.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Hatayspor: Buz Y. A.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Serik Belediyespor won against Hatayspor?
Serik Belediyespor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Serik Belediyespor?
Hatayspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serik Belediyespor - Hatayspor were as follows:
21.12.2025
Hatayspor
-
Serik Belediyespor
1:1
Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
Latest results of Hatayspor
Turkish First League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 55 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 39 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 46 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 24 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 32 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 30 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 2 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 0 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 5 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 4 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | -4 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | -31 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | -27 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | -69 | 14 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -147 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
