Result
2:2
26/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', Alvaro J. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Ramon A. ⚽,
- 62', Alvaro J. ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
- 62', Noriega J. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
- 66', Uzkudun A. ↓, Luis Alcalde ↑,
- 66', Bari Q. ↓, Ortega G. ↑,
- 70', Chema ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 70', Pascu ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 74', Santamaria A. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
- 74', Carracedo O. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, Cueto J. ⚽,
- 83', Tejera S. ↓, Dacosta R. ↑,
- 86', Rubio R. 🟨,
- 88', 🟨,
- 88', Luis Alcalde 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Gimenez A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+2', Bautista K. ↓, Gete A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ferrol
47.4% | Draw
28.4% | Real Avilés
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Ferrol - Real Avilés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.85) |
3.21 ↓
(3.41) |
3.73 ↓
(4.13) |
9.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ferrol - Real Avilés?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Real Avilés will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 14).
- Recent form of Ferrol has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Real Avilés's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ferrol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ferrol is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Real Avilés?
Ferrol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against Ferrol?
Real Avilés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Real Avilés were as follows:
21.12.2025
Real Avilés
-
Ferrol
2:1
Latest results of Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56:44 | 12 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 47 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 47 |
| 12 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 51:58 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35:44 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 39:54 | -15 | 37 |
| 18 | Osasuna B | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 25:39 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
