Result
0:5
11/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, RTVE Play, Teledeporte |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 4)
- 17', 0 - 1, Ciria A. ⚽,
- 27', 0 - 2, Ortega J. ⚽,
- 29', Zalaya A. ↓, Chema ↑,
- 34', Gorostidi A. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 3, Palacios C. ⚽,
- 42', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 44', Valdepenas V. 🟨,
- 45+2', 0 - 4, Fortuny P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Escobar A. ↓, Noriega J. ↑,
- 46', Alvaro J. ↓, Gimenez A. ↑,
- 48', Artetxe M. 🟨,
- 50', Cestero Sancho J. 🟨,
- 62', Cestero Sancho J. ↓, Perea C. ↑,
- 62', Ortega J. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
- 68', Dacosta R. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 5, Fortuny P. ⚽,
- 70', Ciria A. ↓, Fettal R. ↑,
- 71', Fettal R. 🟨,
- 79', Pascu ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
- 79', Angel M. ↓, Serrano M. ↑,
- 79', Palacios C. ↓, Jimenez D. ↑,
- 90', Zalaya A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ferrol
41.5% | Draw
28.9% | Real Madrid Castilla
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)The chances for Real Madrid Castilla have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Ferrol - Real Madrid Castilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.2) |
3.23 ↓
(3.29) |
3.13 ↓
(3.14) |
7.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ferrol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Ferrol has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Ferrol?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
17.09.2025
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Ferrol
0:1
02.08.2025
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Ferrol
2:1
01.08.2024
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Ferrol
0:3
21.01.2023
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Ferrol
0:0
04.09.2022
Ferrol
-
Real Madrid Castilla
2:1
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife ✔ | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B ✔ | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56:44 | 12 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 49 |
| 9 | Lugo | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 34:37 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 47 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 47 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 46 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 51:58 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35:44 | -9 | 39 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 38 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 39:54 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 25:39 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
