Gillingham vs Cambridge United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 22
  • Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.841.04
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
174
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
58% (184/317)55% (153/277)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.841.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.950.99
Total shots
174
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3217
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
129
Passes
58% (184/317)55% (153/277)
Long passes
41% (38/92)27% (26/97)
Passes in final third
52% (73/140)43% (55/127)
Crosses
9% (2/23)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.82
Throw-ins
3529
Fouls
912
Tackles
63% (10/16)60% (3/5)
Duels won
8054
Clearances
4562
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.991.95
Goals prevented
-0.010.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Appere L. , Gibbons J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', Coleman E. , Dack B. ,
  • 65', Nevitt E. , Palmer-Houlden S. ,
  • 67', Bennett L. , Purrington B. ,
  • 67', Brophy J. , McLoughlin S. ,
  • 72', McKenzie R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 72', 1 - 1, Clark M. ,
  • 79', Kaikai S. , Kachunga E. ,
  • 80', Appere L. , Lavery S. ,
  • 85', Rowe A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
32.6%
Draw
31.2%
Cambridge United
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 30% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 31.6% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Gillingham - Cambridge United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.56)
    2.98
    (3.1)
    2.58
    (2.75)
    7.5%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Gillingham - Cambridge United?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Cambridge (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 8).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Morris G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Cambridge: Morrison M. (Inactive) Smith K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Inactive) Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Vokes S. (Calf Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cambridge: Ball D. (Inactive) Bradshaw Z. (Inactive) Kouassi K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Gillingham
    13.12.2025 Gillingham - Barrow 2:2
    22.11.2025 Gillingham - Barnet 1:1
    Latest results of Cambridge United
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley341911458:352368
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Crewe351681152:411156
    7Salford331741246:43355
    8Chesterfield341314752:44853
    9Barnet3514111044:37753
    10Walsall331581042:36653
    11Grimsby331410946:37952
    12Colchester3313101048:351349
    13Accrington341371437:36146
    14Oldham321112936:30645
    15Fleetwood331291243:42145
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere34981746:59-1335
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Barrow33762033:51-1827
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport34672132:60-2825

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League