Result
0:5
22/12/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+ Sport 2, K+, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (381/448) | 78% (265/341) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (381/448) | 78% (265/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (75/101) | 64% (58/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 48% (11/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -3.78 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Ibanez ⚽, Toney I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 57', 0 - 2, Toney I. ⚽, Galeno (A),
- 65', Al Mawas M. ↓, Jabbar H. ↑,
- 66', Raed H. ↓, Shakir B. ↑,
- 71', Al Rashidi F. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 3, Galeno ⚽, Abu Al Shamat S. (A),
- 78', Sadoun M. ↓, Mohammed Dawood ↑,
- 81', 0 - 4, Abu Al Shamat S. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
- 82', Galeno ↓, Al Hawsawi Z. ↑,
- 82', Majrashi A. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 5, Al Johani Z. ⚽,
- 87', Demiral M. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
- 89', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Al Zubaidi Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Shorta Baghdad
22.5% | Draw
24.8% | Al-Ahli Jeddah
52.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ahli Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ahli Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.16 ↓
(4.95) |
3.78 ↓
(4.21) |
1.78 ↑
(1.6) |
6.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Al-Shorta will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Al-Shorta (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In recent matches, Al-Shorta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Ahli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Al-Ahli is seen as the favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 1 |
