Result
1:2
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Pritchard J. 🟨,
- 41', Pritchard J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45', 0 - 1, Henderson I. ⚽, Broome N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Pritchard J. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Nolan J. ⚽,
- 62', Henderson I. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
- 63', Raikhy A. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
- 71', Lewis P. 🟨,
- 71', McBride C. ↓, Rodney D. ↑,
- 74', Aarons R. ↓, Muskwe A. ↑,
- 74', Sesay A. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
- 78', Ebanks-Landell E. 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 2, Gilmour H. ⚽,
- 85', Francillette L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Morecambe
14.4% | Draw
19.7% | Rochdale
65.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Morecambe - Rochdale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.39 ↑
(5.65) |
4.73 ↑
(4.51) |
1.41 ↓
(1.47) |
7.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Morecambe - Rochdale?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rochdale: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rochdale (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 1.
- Morecambe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rochdale is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Rochdale is the clear favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Morecambe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Rochdale?
Morecambe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rochdale won against Morecambe?
Rochdale has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Rochdale were as follows:
Latest results of Morecambe
Latest results of Rochdale
English National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | York City | 35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 92:32 | 60 | 83 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 65:23 | 42 | 82 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 35 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 64:42 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 65:42 | 23 | 64 |
| 5 | Forest Green | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 60:42 | 18 | 62 |
| 6 | Scunthorpe | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 60:49 | 11 | 61 |
| 7 | FC Halifax | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 55:53 | 2 | 53 |
| 8 | Southend | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 52:29 | 23 | 52 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 51 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:54 | -9 | 45 |
| 11 | Solihull Moors | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 58:54 | 4 | 43 |
| 12 | Boston Utd | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 46:51 | -5 | 43 |
| 13 | Aldershot | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 60:63 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | Altrincham | 35 | 12 | 4 | 19 | 41:54 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:51 | -13 | 39 |
| 16 | Eastleigh | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 44:60 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Woking | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
| 18 | Yeovil | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 35:47 | -12 | 38 |
| 19 | Sutton | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 48:56 | -8 | 36 |
| 20 | Brackley Town | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 36 |
| 21 | Braintree | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 27:51 | -24 | 33 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 46:75 | -29 | 27 |
| 23 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 39:76 | -37 | 26 |
| 24 | Truro | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 33:61 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
