Farense vs Paços de Ferreira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Farense
46.9%
Draw
28.3%
Paços de Ferreira
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 28.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 27.3% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Farense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Farense - Paços de Ferreira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.99)
    3.28
    (3.31)
    3.72
    (3.76)
    8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • Farense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Paços de Ferreira has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Farense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Farense could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Farense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
    28.12.2025 Paços de Ferreira - Farense 0:0
    Latest results of Farense
    03.05.2026 Leiria - Farense 0:3
    19.04.2026 Vizela - Farense 0:2
    04.04.2026 Farense - Feirense 0:1
    Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo32206649:252466
    2Academico Viseu32167956:332355
    3Torreense311551137:30750
    4Leiria321310950:43749
    5Vizela321391038:36248
    6Feirense321291134:36-245
    7Benfica B3211111043:40344
    8Leixoes321351442:53-1144
    9Lusitania FC3211101142:48-643
    10FC Porto B311261337:42-542
    11Chaves321261438:37142
    12Sporting CP B321321741:33841
    13Felgueiras3110101128:35-740
    14SC Farense321091330:35-539
    15Penafiel311081333:34-138
    16Portimonense321061637:48-1136
    17Pacos Ferreira328111331:46-1535
    18Oliveirense327101531:43-1231

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