Result
2:0
26/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Silva J. ⚽,
- 25', Ferreira T. 🟨,
- 38', Danny 🟨,
- 45', Lumungo R. 🟨,
- 45+1', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Martins R. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 63', Victor J. ↓, da Silva Moreira I. A. ↑,
- 63', Francisco Ramos ↓, Diegao ↑,
- 67', Faria B. 🟨,
- 67', Anilson 🟨,
- 74', Fabinho ↓, Alhassan I. ↑,
- 74', Silva J. ↓, Tiago Dias ↑,
- 75', Anilson ↓, Mota ↑,
- 75', Cunha N. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
- 81', Teixeira M. ↓, Mimito ↑,
- 81', Danny ↓, Mesquita T. ↑,
- 85', Rafael ↓, Silva V. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 0, Joao Vasco ⚽,
- 89', Fale M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lusitânia
39.3% | Draw
30% | Paços de Ferreira
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Lusitânia - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.5) |
3.06 ↓
(3.07) |
3.01 ↑
(2.9) |
8.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lusitânia - Paços de Ferreira?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Paços de Ferreira (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paços de Ferreira (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
- Lusitânia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Paços de Ferreira has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Paços de Ferreira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Paços de Ferreira?
Lusitânia has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Lusitânia?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitânia - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
14.12.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Lusitânia
1:5
30.07.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Lusitânia
0:1
29.07.2023
Lusitânia
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:1
Latest results of Lusitânia
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 9 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
