Result
2:1
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 24
- Referee: Martin R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (189/308) | 60% (167/279) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (189/308) | 60% (167/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (25/77) | 32% (24/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (101/161) | 44% (44/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/35) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 35% (7/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 77 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Kizzi J. ⚽, Shelton M. (A),
- 25', Loft R. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
- 27', Ofoborh N. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 1, McKirdy H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Ndlovu L. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 64', Kanu I. ↓, Adeniran D. ↑,
- 64', Ofoborh N. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,
- 66', Vassell T. 🟨,
- 67', Richards T. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
- 72', Williams J. 🟨,
- 76', 2 - 1, Kizzi J. ⚽,
- 80', Forster H. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
- 80', McKirdy H. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
- 90', Glover R. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnet
57.9% | Draw
22.8% | Crawley Town
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-15.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnet that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barnet - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.62) |
4.08 ↑
(3.66) |
4.84 ↓
(4.93) |
7.2%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Barnet - Crawley Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Barnet will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnet will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 1.
- Recent performances by Barnet have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Crawley's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Barnet is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Thigh Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Flower L.
(Inactive)
Malone S.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Crawley Town?
Barnet has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Barnet?
Crawley Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnet - Crawley Town were as follows:
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
