Móstoles URJC vs Atlético Madrid C – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
11/01/2026 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 67', 2 - 0, ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Móstoles URJC
40.1%
Draw
30.1%
Atlético Madrid C
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 27.8% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 27.4% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Móstoles URJC's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid C's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Móstoles URJC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid C than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Móstoles URJC - Atlético Madrid C Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.91)
    3.02
    (3.26)
    3.05
    (3.67)
    10%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Móstoles will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Móstoles URJC
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C27158466:363053
    2Las Rozas27148547:291850
    3CD Mostoles27146743:311248
    4AD Torrejon27136844:37745
    5Leganes B27128749:242544
    6Trival Valderas271341037:31643
    7San Sebastian Reyes B27910834:29537
    8Pozuelo de Alarcon27910826:24237
    9Union Adarve271071032:36-437
    10Mexico FC271061134:34036
    11Galapagar27812728:35-736
    12Villaverde San Andres27811825:30-535
    13Alcorcon B27881124:28-432
    14Siello27851426:38-1229
    15Tres Cantos27831624:47-2327
    16Carabanchel27691221:27-627
    17Parla27741622:46-2425
    18Ciudad de Madrid27571527:47-2022

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation