Móstoles URJC vs Pozuelo de Alarcón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/12/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Clinton ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Sanchez V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning

Móstoles URJC
60.7%

Draw
24.2%

Pozuelo de Alarcón
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.5%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Móstoles URJC's performance.

Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pozuelo de Alarcón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles URJC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pozuelo de Alarcón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)	3.75 ↑ (3.65)	6.03 ↑ (4.4)	10% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Móstoles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Móstoles is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Móstoles URJC won against Pozuelo de Alarcón?

Móstoles URJC has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pozuelo de Alarcón won against Móstoles URJC?

Pozuelo de Alarcón has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón were as follows:

10.03.2024 Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón 4:0

22.10.2023 Pozuelo de Alarcón - Móstoles URJC 2:3

05.03.2023 Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón 2:0

30.10.2022 Pozuelo de Alarcón - Móstoles URJC 1:1

Latest results of Móstoles URJC

14.12.2025 Leganés B - Móstoles URJC 2:0 ✺

07.12.2025 Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas 3:1 ✺

23.11.2025 Torrejón - Móstoles URJC 0:1 ✺

16.11.2025 Móstoles URJC - Parla 3:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Alcorcón B - Móstoles URJC 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Pozuelo de Alarcón

14.12.2025 Pozuelo de Alarcón - San Sebastian Reyes B 2:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Racing Madrid - Pozuelo de Alarcón 0:1 ✺

23.11.2025 Pozuelo de Alarcón - Las Rozas 1:1 ✺

16.11.2025 Unión Adarve - Pozuelo de Alarcón 1:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Pozuelo de Alarcón - Villaverde San Andrés 0:1 ✺

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Madrid C	33	18	9	6	82:45	37	63
2	Trival Valderas	33	18	5	10	48:34	14	59
3	AD Torrejon	33	16	9	8	56:46	10	57
4	Las Rozas	33	16	8	9	57:39	18	56
5	Leganes B	33	15	9	9	62:31	31	54
6	Union Adarve	33	14	8	11	43:42	1	50
7	CD Mostoles	33	14	8	11	50:44	6	50
8	San Sebastian Reyes B	33	11	13	9	41:35	6	46
9	Pozuelo de Alarcon	33	11	12	10	37:32	5	45
10	Alcorcon B	33	11	10	12	35:32	3	43
11	Villaverde San Andres	33	10	13	10	32:40	-8	43
12	Galapagar	33	10	13	10	39:46	-7	43
13	Mexico FC	33	11	9	13	43:48	-5	42
14	Siello	33	12	5	16	36:45	-9	41
15	Carabanchel	33	9	11	13	30:33	-3	38
16	Tres Cantos	33	10	3	20	39:62	-23	33
17	Parla	33	7	6	20	29:65	-36	27
18	Ciudad de Madrid	33	5	7	21	31:71	-40	22

      Promotion
      Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
      Relegation