Result
3:1
12/04/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub |
Chances of winning
Trival Valderas
40.5% | Draw
27.2% | Móstoles URJC
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trival Valderas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trival Valderas's performance.Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Móstoles URJC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trival Valderas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Móstoles URJC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.89) |
3.36 ↓
(3.5) |
2.82 ↑
(2.18) |
9.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trival Valderas won 2.
- Trival Valderas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Móstoles's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Trival Valderas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trival Valderas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Trival Valderas won against Móstoles URJC?
Trival Valderas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Móstoles URJC won against Trival Valderas?
Móstoles URJC has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC were as follows:
07.12.2025
Móstoles URJC
-
Trival Valderas
3:1
28.01.2024
Móstoles URJC
-
Trival Valderas
3:1
10.09.2023
Trival Valderas
-
Móstoles URJC
2:1
05.02.2023
Móstoles URJC
-
Trival Valderas
1:0
02.10.2022
Trival Valderas
-
Móstoles URJC
3:0
Latest results of Trival Valderas
Latest results of Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 82:45 | 37 | 63 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 33 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 48:34 | 14 | 59 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 | Las Rozas | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 57:39 | 18 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 62:31 | 31 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43:42 | 1 | 50 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Alcorcon B | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35:32 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Villaverde San Andres | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Galapagar | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 | Mexico FC | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | Siello | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 36:45 | -9 | 41 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 30:33 | -3 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 33 | 10 | 3 | 20 | 39:62 | -23 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 29:65 | -36 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31:71 | -40 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
