Result
1:1
21/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Adugna H. ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 1, Konkoni H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 70', Haftey S. 🟥,
- 83', Shura B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Welwalo Adigrat
29% | Draw
35.4% | Sheger Ketema
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Welwalo Adigrat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Welwalo Adigrat's form might have worsened.Sheger Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Welwalo Adigrat - Sheger Ketema Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(2.66) |
2.56 ↓
(2.87) |
2.55 ↓
(2.76) |
10.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16).
- Recent performances by Welwalo Adigrat have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sheger Ketema's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Welwalo Adigrat won against Sheger Ketema?
Welwalo Adigrat has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sheger Ketema won against Welwalo Adigrat?
Sheger Ketema has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Welwalo Adigrat - Sheger Ketema were as follows:
Latest results of Welwalo Adigrat
Latest results of Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 45 |
| 2 | Hawassa | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 40 |
| 3 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Ethio Electric | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 37 |
| 5 | Mechal | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29:19 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Fasil Kenema | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Adama City | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 22:23 | -1 | 33 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 24 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32:32 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Sheger Ketema | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Ethiopian Insurance | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 19:18 | 1 | 28 |
| 14 | Welwalo Adigrat | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | Dire Dawa | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 28 |
| 16 | Welayta Dicha | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 27 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 16:19 | -3 | 27 |
| 18 | St. George | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 16:20 | -4 | 25 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 16:29 | -13 | 19 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
