Result
0:2
01/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (226/335) | 75% (270/361) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (226/335) | 75% (270/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (33/81) | 41% (29/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (56/114) | 53% (50/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.17 | 1.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Manzur G. 🟨,
- 41', Segovia I. 🟨,
- 42', Mendieta W. (Penalty Awarded),
- 43', Rojas R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Jhon Sanchez ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 54', Vallejos J. 🟨,
- 60', Mendieta W. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Zaracho S. ⚽, Fernandez D. (A),
- 68', Manzur G. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
- 68', Sarquis E. ↓, Villagra C. ↑,
- 68', Gimenez C. ↓, Gimenez Delgado J. J. ↑,
- 70', Manzur A. ↓, Tanda P. ↑,
- 70', Coronel P. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Fernandez D. ⚽, Fernandez F. (A),
- 79', Servin T. ↓, Barbotte A. ↑,
- 81', Montiel L. ↓, Ruiz Diaz S. ↑,
- 83', Fernandez F. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rubio Ñu
25.5% | Draw
30.3% | Guaraní Asuncion
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↑
(3.11) |
3.08 ↓
(3.36) |
2.1 ↓
(2.22) |
7.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Guaraní will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Guaraní (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 1.
- Rubio Ñu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guaraní's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rubio Ñu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Guaraní has had a series of home games.
- Guaraní will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rubio Ñu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Rubio Ñu won against Guaraní Asuncion?
Rubio Ñu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guaraní Asuncion won against Rubio Ñu?
Guaraní Asuncion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion were as follows:
01.02.2026
Guaraní Asuncion
-
Rubio Ñu
4:0
Latest results of Rubio Ñu
Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
