Mainz vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Mainz - RB Leipzig
13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Mainz
40.7%
Draw
26.1%
RB Leipzig
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 26.1% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 25.7% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Mainz - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.34)
    3.7
    (3.67)
    2.91
    (2.9)
    3.7%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:41. (average 1.4:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    01.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2
    19.10.2024 Mainz - RB Leipzig 0:2
    30.03.2024 RB Leipzig - Mainz 0:0
    04.11.2023 Mainz - RB Leipzig 2:0
    01.04.2023 RB Leipzig - Mainz 0:3
    Latest results of Mainz
    31.08.2025 Wolfsburg - Mainz 1:1
    28.08.2025 Mainz - Rosenborg 4:1
    24.08.2025 Mainz - Köln 0:1
    21.08.2025 Rosenborg - Mainz 2:1
    18.08.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Mainz 0:1
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0
    22.08.2025 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 6:0
    16.08.2025 Sandhausen - RB Leipzig 2:4
    09.08.2025 Lens - RB Leipzig 2:1
    02.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Atalanta 1:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22009:276
    2Eintracht Frankfurt22007:256
    3FC Koln22005:146
    4Dortmund21106:334
    5St. Pauli21105:324
    6Wolfsburg21104:224
    7Augsburg21015:413
    8Stuttgart21012:203
    9Hoffenheim21013:4-13
    10Union Berlin21012:4-23
    11RB Leipzig21012:6-43
    12Bayer Leverkusen20114:5-11
    13Mainz20111:2-11
    14B. Monchengladbach20110:1-11
    15Hamburger SV20110:2-21
    16Werder Bremen20114:7-31
    17Heidenheim20021:5-40
    18Freiburg20022:7-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga