Result
1:0
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (168/296) | 67% (279/417) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (168/296) | 67% (279/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (24/95) | 34% (30/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (62/113) | 55% (99/180) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (8/37) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 33% (1/3) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Iandolo E. ↓, Vincent-Young K. ↑,
- 35', Bennett M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Evans J. 🟨,
- 48', Hill T. 🟨,
- 55', Bennett M. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
- 55', Hill T. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
- 55', Sutton L. ↓, Brenan T. ↑,
- 65', Edwards O. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
- 66', Goodwin W. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
- 66', Payne J. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
- 70', Heffernan C. ↓, Gibson L. ↑,
- 76', Brenan T. 🟨,
- 77', Anderson H. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 87', Lisbie K. 🟨,
- 90+9', 1 - 0, Slater J. ⚽, Gibson L. (A),
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
32.1% | Draw
27.9% | Colchester United
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Harrogate Town's performance.Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harrogate Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Harrogate Town - Colchester United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↓
(3.5) |
3.36 ↑
(3.29) |
2.33 ↑
(2) |
6.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Colchester United?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 3.
- Harrogate is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Colchester is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Harrogate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Colchester has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Fox B.
(Inactive)
Marsh A.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Colchester: Araujo H.
(Broken cheekbone)
Flanagan T.
(Inactive)
Mbick M.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Colchester United?
Harrogate Town has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against Harrogate Town?
Colchester United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Colchester United were as follows:
18.10.2025
Colchester United
-
Harrogate Town
3:1
21.01.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Colchester United
0:0
24.08.2024
Colchester United
-
Harrogate Town
0:1
10.02.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Colchester United
1:0
21.10.2023
Colchester United
-
Harrogate Town
1:2
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Colchester United
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
